NFL News Updates

Author: nfltalk

  • Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State spread, odds, line: 2023 Egg Bowl picks, prediction by expert who’s 69-28

    Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State spread, odds, line: 2023 Egg Bowl picks, prediction by expert who’s 69-28

    Starkville, Miss., will be the center of the college football world on Thanksgiving with the No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels and the Mississippi State Bulldogs set to square off in the 2023 Egg Bowl. The Bulldogs can become bowl-eligible with a victory and enter Thursday’s matchup coming off a 41-20 win over Southern Miss. The Rebels have their sights set on a New Year’s Six bowl game and a win on Thursday would make that a near certainty. Ole Miss beat Louisiana-Monroe 35-3 in its last outing. Ole Miss leads the all-time series 64–46–6, but the bitter in-state rivals have split the last 10 games.

    Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The Rebels are 10-point favorites in the latest Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 54. Before you make any Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine football expert Jimmie Kaylor. 

    Kaylor is a NFL, college football and DFS expert for SportsLine, who has covered the NFL and college football for close to a decade as a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. His background as a former college football All-American and NFL player gives him a unique perspective when building his fantasy lineups and locking in his betting picks. He has his finger on the pulse of the college football landscape and has been cashing in big for the last two years. 

    Kaylor has been red-hot all season, going 69-28-2 overall on his college football best bets for SportsLine this season so far. He is up over 42.05 units, returning a profit of $4,205 for $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed his picks this season is way up.

    Now, he has set…

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  • NFL Thanksgiving and Black Friday odds, expert picks, best bets: How to watch, stream, teasers, survivor pool

    NFL Thanksgiving and Black Friday odds, expert picks, best bets: How to watch, stream, teasers, survivor pool

    You know what goes great with some turkey? Football! The NFL has a tripleheader on deck for Thanksgiving and, for the first time ever, will treat us to a Black Friday game as well. That’s four games over the two-day holiday stretch before we kick things into full gear on Sunday and Monday. Every one of those games is a division rivalry showdown, so the competition should be at an all-time high and will feature a number of Super Bowl contenders. 

    As we do every week for the entire slate, we’ve collected all of the best Thanksgiving and Black Friday picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine. We’ve put them all in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional featured content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more.  

    All NFL odds via SportsLine Consensus Odds.

    Which picks can you make with confidence in Week 12? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine, as its incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception.

    Time: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (Fox), stream on fubo (try for free) 
    Open: Lions -7, O/U 45.5

    Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

    The SportsLine Projection Model has cooked up a Thanksgiving parlay that you’ll definitely want to feast your eyes on. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks…

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  • Which Mountain West Teams Are Among the Top 10 Mid Majors in College Football This Year

    Which Mountain West Teams Are Among the Top 10 Mid Majors in College Football This Year

    It’s been an unusual football season in the Mountain West with some traditional powers struggling and new teams taking center stage. With the conference standings looking a little different, how does the Mountain West stack up with the rest of the country? Well, we decided to put together a ranking of the top 10 mid-major teams in the country this season. Let’s see how many Mountain West teams made it onto our list.

    10. Troy

    Even with a couple of weeks left in the regular season, the Trojans know they’ll be playing for a Sun Belt title. In that game, Troy will have a chance to avenge a two-point loss to James Madison early in the season. Other than a loss to Kansas State, that’s the only blemish on Troy’s resume, as the Trojans have been perfect since late September and boast one of the top-10 defenses in the country, giving up 10 points or less four times this year.

    9. Air Force

    What can you say about Air Force in 2023? The Falcons started the season with eight consecutive wins before being tripped up against Army. Time will tell if they’re able to finish strong, but the way they’ve run the ball and played defense deserves some recognition.

    8. Miami (Ohio)

    Somewhat quietly, Chuck Martin has built a stable and consistent program at Ohio. The RedHawks have already clinched their fourth bowl appearance in the last five games. They also have a shot to return to the MAC Championship Game for the first time since 2016 and win 10 games. Miami’s defense is for real, holding all MAC opponents to 21 points or less, which is why they stand out amongst the top mid-major programs.

    7. UNLV

    Out of nowhere, the Rebels have burst onto the season in Barry Odom’s first season. Keep in mind that UNLV’s last winning season came in 2013, so it’s a big deal what the Rebels have done this year, giving themselves a chance to…

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  • The shocking Patrick Mahomes numbers

    The shocking Patrick Mahomes numbers

    In Roob’s Eagles Stats: The shocking Patrick Mahomes numbers originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

    Usually, the games that generate the most interesting stats are the highest-scoring games. The more points, the more stats.

    But when it’s the Eagles and Chiefs, when the Eagles rebound from a double-digit deficit, when Patrick Mahomes is uncharacteristically ineffective, there’s certainly no shortage of stats.

    So here’s our Week 11 edition of Roob’s Eagles Stats, with a look at turnover margin, 1st-quarter scoring, Jalen Hurts rushing touchdowns and the rarity of beating the Chiefs at Arrowhead after trailing by double digits at halftime.

    1. The Chiefs’ longest pass play Monday night went for 17 yards. It was the first time in 190 games that Andy Reid has coached the Chiefs that they didn’t have a pass play of at least 18 yards. Last time they didn’t have an 18-yard reception was on the last day of the 2012 season in a 38-3 loss to the Broncos in Denver – the last Chiefs game Reid didn’t coach. Their longest reception that day was a 16-yarder from Brady Quinn to tight end Tony Moeaki. The Chiefs’ longest catch in that game by a wide receiver went for just six yards – to Devon Wylie. Their wide receivers coach was Nick Sirianni.

    2. Patrick Mahomes threw 43 passes Monday night but for only 177 yards. That 4.1 yards per pass attempt is the lowest of his career – by far. His previous low was 4.5 yards in a win over the Packers in 2021 (37 attempts, 166 yards). That 4.1 figure is the lowest by a Chiefs QB in 12 years, since Matt Cassel threw 28 times for 93 yards for 3.3 yards per attempt in a 17-10 loss to the Broncos in 2011. In Eagles history, only two other opposing quarterbacks have thrown 40 or more passes for 180 or fewer yards: Matt Robinson of the Broncos in the 1980 opener (41 attempts, 178 yards) and Jay Cutler of the Bears in 2009 (43 attempts, 171 yards).

    3. Jalen Hurts’ two rushing touchdowns against the Chiefs gave him 10…

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  • James Madison backs off threat of legal action vs. NCAA over bowl eligibility in wake of loss to App State

    James Madison backs off threat of legal action vs. NCAA over bowl eligibility in wake of loss to App State

    Getty Images

    James Madison announced it will back off the threat of taking legal action against the NCAA in regards to its eligibility for the college football postseason. The NCAA denied JMU’s pursuit of a bowl eligibility waiver last week as the Dukes stood at 10-0 and No. 18 in the AP Top 25 poll entering a home showdown with Appalachian State.

    Following the denial, Virginia attorney general Jason Miyares suggested in a letter obtained by ESPN that James Madison was prepared to file a lawsuit claiming the bowl ban is in violation of antitrust of laws. Ultimately, JMU’s heartbreaking 26-23 loss to Appalachian State diminished its chances of qualifying for a New Year’s Six game, and the program’s announcement cited the outcome in its rationale for standing down. 

    “Based on consultation with and advice of our outside counsel, the loss to Appalachian State University on Saturday changed the landscape in terms of the nature and timing of our legal options, including the diminished viability of a lawsuit against the NCAA,” the statement said.

    James Madison is in Year 2 of of the NCAA-mandated FCS-to-FBS transition, which entails two years of postseason ineligibility. The Dukes are off to a strong start with an 18-4 mark (12-3 Sun Belt) over their first two seasons. They could still play in a bowl game, too, if there are not enough enough 6-6 teams to fill up the bowl spots.

    However, making a New Year’s Six game would have required JMU to be among teams listed in the College Football Playoff Rankings. As a…

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  • Lions legend Barry Sanders finally explains why he decided to retire at the prime of his career

    Lions legend Barry Sanders finally explains why he decided to retire at the prime of his career

    Ultimately, Barry Sanders’ reasoning behind his shocking retirement was as simple as the fax he sent the Detroit Lions to inform them of his plans to hang up his cleats. 

    Sanders, who stunned everyone when he retired just as the Lions were going into training camp in the summer of 1999, recently opened up on his decision to walk away while still in the prime of his career. 

    “For me, just that thing that drove me to play, which is that passion, just wasn’t there,” Sanders said in Amazon’s new documentary on the Hall of Fame running back. “There was nothing really left to play for. I didn’t see us as any kind of a serious Super Bowl contender. … I felt like I was making a pretty clear decision. I just felt like, in my mind, this is pretty much it.” 

    Sanders’ comments on the matter in 2023 are similar to the ones he penned in the article announcing his retirement 24 years earlier. 

    “The reason I am retiring is simple: My desire to exit the game is greater than my desire to remain in it,” Sanders wrote. “I have searched my heart through and through and feel comfortable with this decision.”

    As discussed in the documentary, there were factors that ultimately led to Sanders no longer having the drive to continue playing. The main reason was that the Lions were 5-11 in Sanders’ last season and appeared to be light years away from being a legitimate contender. The fact that the team had parted with several of the team’s core players during Detroit’s more successful years during Sanders’ tenure didn’t help matters. 

    The Lions made it to within a game of the Super Bowl during Sanders’ third season but did not win a playoff game in any of his final seven seasons. While Sanders stayed, he watched as several of the team’s better players during those years left town. Pro Bowl center Kevin Glover’s departure after the 1997 season, for example, had a profound impact on Sanders, who would retire…

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  • Washington moves to No. 4, jumping Florida State

    Washington moves to No. 4, jumping Florida State

    There was movement in the top five of the College Football Playoff rankings for a second straight week.

    Last week we saw Georgia jump up to No. 1 in the CFP selection committee’s Top 25. This week, Washington moved past Florida State in the rankings. UW moved up one spot to No. 4 following its 22-20 road win over Oregon State (which is now ranked No. 16) while FSU dropped down to No. 5.

    The Huskies and Seminoles are two of the five remaining undefeated teams from Power Five conferences and slotted in behind No. 1 Georgia, No. 2 Ohio State and No. 3 Michigan, whose rankings did not change. Washington picked up its fourth ranked win in the last six weeks while FSU took care of business at home vs. North Alabama but lost star quarterback Jordan Travis to a season-ending leg injury in the process.

    Ohio State and Michigan will meet this Saturday in Ann Arbor, so the loser of that game will fall in the rankings and allow Washington and Florida State to move up as long as they win their rivalry games vs. Washington State and Florida, respectively.

    Elsewhere, No. 6 Oregon, No. 7 Texas and No. 8 Alabama — all now 10-1 — remained at the same spot in the rankings, but Louisville (also 10-1) stayed at No. 10 even after a road win over Miami. Missouri needed a last-second field goal to beat Florida at home, but stayed at No. 9 even with two losses.

    Each of those one-loss teams can keep their CFP hopes alive with wins this weekend. Oregon, if it beats Oregon State, will clinch a spot in the Pac-12 title game vs. Washington. Texas will advance to the Big 12 title game with a win over Texas Tech and Alabama needs to avoid an upset at the hands of Auburn in the Iron Bowl before facing Georgia in the SEC championship game.

    Louisville has already clinched a spot in the ACC title game, where it will meet Florida State. To keep their…

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  • Week 12 Fantasy Football Defense (DST) Rankings and Streamers

    Week 12 Fantasy Football Defense (DST) Rankings and Streamers

    Syndication: Palm Beach Post

    One week after nailing eight of the top 10 defenses, we hit on six of ten this week with a few others (Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, and Kansas City) finishing just one point out of the top 10. The recent shift in weekly formula to double the emphasis on opponent and also factor in the last four weeks performance of each defense to highlight recent performance seems to have helped the overall weekly accuracy.

    Unfortunately, I have a feeling that Week 12 is going to bring us more chaos than we anticipate. We have the weird holiday slate that takes players away from their families and has way more teams than usual playing on short weeks. Then we also have lots of injury questions around players like Kenneth Walker, Geno Smith, David Carr, Cooper Kupp, and more. We also have major turnover at the quarterback position with Joe Burrow out for the season, and the Jets finally benching Zach Wilson.

    There are just tons of variables that we don’t yet have a firm grasp of, and we have way less time than normal to let those situations play out. As a result, I might be leaning towards those safe floor defenses rather than the risky upside ones this week.

    BOD Formula and Philosophy

    Just a quick reminder of the BOD formula:

    (Pressure Rate) + (Knockdowns) + (Pass Defense Rate) + (%Drives ending in a Turnover x2)

    Minus

    (% Drives ending in a Score) + (Explosive Plays Allowed Per Game)

    It’s important to clarify that the BOD rankings ARE NOT to be treated as weekly rankings. BOD is meant to tell us who the best fantasy defenses are, but depending on the matchup, they might be ranked differently in a given week. That’s why we have this column where I will be breaking down my rankings for each week and an explanation of why I have the defenses ranked the way I do. The rankings will take into account their BOD ranking, opponent, injuries, weather, etc., but I hope my explanation will help make sense of each ranking.

    Special shoutout to Arjun Menon, who calculates the…

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