Hello Yahoo! I’m Derek Carty, creator of THE BLITZ projection system, which, if you have Yahoo Fantasy Plus, you’ll notice is now available as an option to help you manage your teams. Every Friday, I’ll be digging into three players projected to play above their usual level, and three players projected to play below their usual level. (I’ll also be doing an AMA in the Yahoo Fantasy Discord every Thursday at 3 p.m. ET, so be sure to stop by, say hi, and get your questions answered.)
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Last week in this space, we nailed big games from Daniel Jones and Chase Brown, and you were probably happy to avoid most Lions and Terry McLaurin. James Conner didn’t quite get the workload I expected, but that’s the nature of these things. We’re dealing with probabilities, and that necessitates some occasional “losers.” But when following a strong, quantitative process like using THE BLITZ, you’ll come out ahead more than you lose. On to Week 2 …
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Geno Smith (and Jakobi Meyers), Las Vegas Raiders
Daniel Jones worked out nicely last week, so let’s try this again with Geno Smith. Projecting as QB11 on the week, he doesn’t profile quite as well as Jones did, but he’s still very likely to be the best streamer available on your waiver wire (I’m looking at you, Brock Purdy managers). Despite expecting Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly to come out running, the Raiders were quietly the third-most pass-heavy team (neutralizing for context) in Week 1. We may look back at that as a one-week blip, but even a single week of that magnitude is enough to bump their projection from “run-heavy” to “neutral” going forward. The Raiders have an underrated receiving corps, starting with Jakobi Meyers, on top of Smith being one of the most underrated QBs in the game himself. And the best news: Like Jones last week, Smith will get his first taste of an indoor home game this week after…
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