Week 4 Expected Points: Is Roschon Johnson the RB solution in Chicago?

Running Backs

Week 3 Expected Points

Player

Team

EP

FPOE

PPR

Aaron Jones

MIN

25.1

0.7

25.8

Jonathan Taylor

IND

21.2

5.3

26.5

Chuba Hubbard

CAR

20.1

7.8

27.9

Kyren Williams

LAR

20

11.6

31.6

David Montgomery

DET

18.5

2.7

21.2

Derrick Henry

BAL

18.4

12

30.4

Breece Hall

NYJ

18.3

0

18.3

Zack Moss

CIN

18

2.7

20.7

Alvin Kamara

NO

17.8

-2.1

15.7

Brian Robinson Jr

WAS

17.4

-6.7

10.7

Devin Singletary

NYG

17

3.8

20.8

Jordan Mason

SF

16.7

-5.9

10.8

Najee Harris

PIT

16.7

-3.1

13.6

Saquon Barkley

PHI

16.5

17.1

33.6

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

16.2

9.5

25.7

De’Von Achane

MIA

15.8

-7

8.8

Carson Steele

KC

15.7

-7.3

8.4

D’Andre Swift

CHI

14.5

-8.3

6.2

Bijan Robinson

ATL

14.1

-0.9

13.2

James Cook

BUF

14

4.7

18.7

Rachaad White

TB

13.9

-5.4

8.5

Travis Etienne

JAC

13

-0.5

12.5

Javonte Williams

DEN

12.9

-4.8

8.1

Josh Jacobs

GB

11.8

-6

5.8

Roschon Johnson

CHI

11.8

-1.6

10.2

JK Dobbins

LAC

11.7

-3.3

8.4

Rico Dowdle

DAL

11.1

-2.5

8.6

Miles Sanders

CAR

10.9

0.1

11.0

Jahmyr Gibbs

DET

10.5

-0.2

10.3

Samaje Perine

KC

10.2

-3.2

7.0

Jerome Ford

CLE

9.9

0.1

10.0

Braelon Allen

NYJ

9

0.8

9.8

Cam Akers

HOU

9

0.9

9.9

Khalil Herbert

CHI

8.9

-8

0.9

Alexander Mattison

LV

8.7

4.7

13.4

Bucky Irving

TB

8.7

2.7

11.4

Cordarrelle Patterson

PIT

8.5

-0.7

7.8

Emanuel Wilson

GB

8.5

8

16.5

Jaleel McLaughlin

DEN

8.5

-0.1

8.4

Ty Johnson

BUF

8.4

5.2

13.6

Chase Brown

CIN

7.3

1.6

8.9

Tony Pollard

TEN

7

-1.1

5.9

Ray Davis

BUF

6.7

2.6

9.3

Tyjae Spears

TEN

6.5

3.6

10.1

Antonio Gibson

NE

6.2

0.5

6.7

Tyrone Tracy Jr

NYG

5.9

0.1

6.0

Jamaal Williams

NO

5.6

-4.7

0.9

James Conner

ARI

5.6

-2.1

3.5

Alec Ingold

MIA

5.5

-1.1

4.4

Justice Hill

BAL

5.5

1.9

7.4

Roschon Johnson (CHI, 11.8 Expected Points)

The Bears running game is atrocious. D’Andre Swift, who was signed to a three-year, $24 million contract this offseason, has rushed for 68 scoreless yards on 37 carries (1.8 YPC) and has caught only six passes on 10 targets. Currently the RB27 in expected fantasy points (34.4), Swift’s negative 15.0 fantasy points over expected ranks 114th at the position.

It doesn’t help that the Bears ranked 31st as a team in yards before contact per attempt (0.71 YBCO/ATT), but it’s far easier to replace the starter at running back than it is to replace an entire offensive line.

Enter Roschon Johnson.

The…

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