Noah Cain O/U 45.5 Rush Yards (FanDuel)
This isn’t the first time i’ve had Mr. “Nova” Cain in this column, as he has been a pedestrian running option if there ever was one. Penn State has been particularly fond of a committee running back approach, with Cain being shuttled down the depth chart in favor of Keyvonne Lee, Jon Lovett and Devy Ford in recent weeks.
Cain hasn’t cleared 45.5 yards in his last 5 games, with his more recent 9 OT marathon against Illinois garnering him 11 carries for 43 yards in a close game that featured a dozen extra plays than had it ended in regulation. With PSU likely to be chasing against Ohio State, there is little reason for a marginal receiving back like Cain to be given a heavy workload. With Lovett returning to health, and Lee looking like he has more juice between the tackles, I don’t see Cain clearing the 11 carry mark against an Ohio State front that ranks 15th in success rate, 11th in marginal efficiency and 10th in stuff rate.
I’m riding the Cain UNDER in PSU’s committee backfield.
Tre Siggers O/U 58.5 Rush Yards (Draft Kings)
Ulysses Bentley led the charge on the ground for SMU for the first four games before succumbing to injury against Navy on October 9 after just 2 carries. In his place the North Texas transfer Siggers has taken over the ball carrier duties and done a good job against a Tulane team that lost Michael Pratt and was basically helpless with SMU trouncing them 55-26, and a 41-17 blowout of South Florida where he rushed 20 times for 86 yards. Where he struggled was against Navy in a close 31-24 contest when he received 14 carries for 49 yards.
Houston has an excellent rush defense ranking 11th in success rate, 4th in Marginal Efficiency and 5th in Opportunity rate. Bentley has been practicing without restrictions this week and is…